Stocks to buy in 2025-26 for long term: Tata Motors PV among 5 stocks that could give 10-28% returns

Stocks to buy in 2025-26 for long term: Tata Motors PV among 5 stocks that could give 10-28% returns

Stocks to buy in 2025-26 for long term: Tata Motors PV among 5 stocks that could give 10-28% returns

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles is one of four stocks highlighted by brokerages as potential long-term ideas for 2025–26 with an indicative upside band of roughly 10–28%, driven by its strong domestic PV and EV franchise but capped by lingering concerns around the JLR-heavy earnings mix and global demand risks. The other three stocks in that basket come from consumer, energy/PSU, and healthcare spaces, reflecting a selectively bullish stance across domestic demand, energy transition and hospital themes rather than a broad market call.

Basket overview (10–28% band)

  • The curated list of four stocks is framed as “stocks to buy in 2025 for long term”, with 12‑month target prices implying upside potential of roughly 10–28% from prevailing levels at the time of the report.

  • Brokerages stress this is a selectively optimistic stance, not a blanket bull call, with picks anchored in earnings visibility, balance‑sheet strength and sectoral tailwinds in autos, QSR/consumer, PSU mining/power, and hospitals.

Representative targets and upsides

  • Tata Motors PV: Consensus 12‑month target around ₹398–₹400 implies c. 11% upside versus a spot price in the ₹355–₹360 zone, though individual houses range from about ₹305 (Sell) to ₹506 (Bullish), underscoring high dispersion.

  • Westlife Foodworld : Emkay Global rates it ADD with a target of ₹725 vs. ~₹566 LTP, indicating about 28% upside, driven by store expansion, improving unit economics and operating leverage in its QSR portfolio.

  • NLC India : Elara Capital assigns a Buy with a ₹320 target vs. ~₹246 LTP, implying c. 30% upside on expectations of steady mining volumes, power capacity additions and improving realisations.

  • Global Health : Motilal Oswal rates it Buy with a ₹1,480 target vs. ~₹1,263 LTP (c. 17% upside) supported by volume growth, case mix improvement and brownfield bed additions in its hospital network.

Key comparison snapshot

StockBrokerage view (sample)LTP (₹)Target (₹)Implied upsideCore thesis (brief)
Tata Motors PVMixed (Buy/Hold/Sell) with wide target dispersion~357~398–400 cons.~11%Strong India PV/EV franchise; JLR cyclicality and global demand are key swing factors.
Westlife FoodworldADD, structurally positive QSR play56672528%Store additions, same‑store sales growth, operating leverage in McDonald’s West & South India franchise.
NLC IndiaBuy, PSU mining & power beneficiary24632030%Lignite mining, power expansions, improving tariffs and utilisation.
Global HealthBuy, quality hospital operator1,2631,48017%Rising patient volumes, better case mix, capacity expansion.

Tata Motors PV: long‑term story

  • The listed Tata Motors PV entity houses India passenger vehicles and Jaguar Land Rover (JLR), with JLR contributing over 80% of revenue and profits, which means global luxury auto cycles, Europe/China demand and FX trends heavily drive consolidated numbers.

  • On the India side, the company is well‑positioned in EVs (Nexon EV, Tiago EV, Harrier EV, upcoming Sierra/Curvv) and SUVs, and is expected to benefit from PLI incentives and a growing EV ecosystem, supporting the long‑term domestic growth narrative.

Valuation, targets and risks

  • Consensus 12‑month target near ₹398–₹400 suggests mid‑teens upside from late‑November levels, but analysts’ range spans from a cautious ₹305 (Sell) to over ₹500 (Bullish), reflecting disagreement on the depth and duration of JLR’s challenges versus India EV tailwinds.

  • Key upside drivers cited include: sustained double‑digit volume growth and margin expansion in India PV/EV, successful new model launches (Sierra, Harrier EV), and any positive surprise on JLR margins or China demand; key risks are prolonged JLR margin pressure, macro slowdown in key export markets, EV adoption pacing and regulatory/emission changes in Europe.

Other three stocks: long‑term angles

  • Westlife Foodworld is positioned as a consumer‑discretionary compounder leveraging QSR penetration, menu innovation and operating leverage; long‑term thesis revolves around sustained store roll‑outs and margin expansion as scale improves.

  • NLC India is a PSU play on lignite mining and power, where long‑term returns hinge on execution of capacity additions, tariff visibility and government policy on coal/lignite and renewables.

  • Global Health represents a structural healthcare demand story, with earnings growth expected from higher occupancy, richer case mix and incremental beds, though regulatory and pricing controls remain watch‑points for long‑term investors.

How to use this basket for 2025–26

  • For a 3–5+ year horizon, this basket mixes cyclical/global (Tata Motors PV ) with more domestic, relatively defensive or structural growth (QSR, hospital, PSU power/mining), which can help balance risk across themes.

  • Position sizing and staggered buying are critical because autos (especially JLR‑linked) and PSUs can be volatile; using SIP‑style accumulation and regularly reviewing earnings versus the brokerage theses can reduce timing risk and help stay aligned with long‑term return expectations in the 10–28% band rather than chasing short‑term moves.

This is not personal investment advice; evaluating your own risk tolerance, time horizon, and diversification needs (and consulting a SEBI‑registered advisor) is essential before acting on any of these ideas.

COMMENTS

Disclaimer: We are not registered with the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) as a financial advisor or investment advisor. Any information or advice provided on this platform is for general informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities.   It is essential to consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The performance of any investment, including those mentioned on this platform, is subject to market risks and may fluctuate. We are not responsible for any losses or damages arising from reliance on the information provided here.

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The Market Guru: Stocks to buy in 2025-26 for long term: Tata Motors PV among 5 stocks that could give 10-28% returns
Stocks to buy in 2025-26 for long term: Tata Motors PV among 5 stocks that could give 10-28% returns
Stocks to buy in 2025-26 for long term: Tata Motors PV among 5 stocks that could give 10-28% returns
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